As I write this forecast, we’re seeing the tail-end of a long line of storms pass through the Twin Cities. Here’s the radar view as of 8:21 a.m. this morning:
The question now is what happens next? Well, for starters – it’ll be quite steamy today. Temperatures are already in the middle 70s and the dewpoint isn’t far behind.
More storms are likely as well. I’ll talk about that – but first, here’s a look at your Minneapolis/St. Paul 7-day forecast:
Looking ahead through this 4th of July week, we’re seeing quite a few chances for rain/storms, but the more significant chances now come overnight tonight (although re-developing showers are a possibility in more isolated patches this afternoon) and again Monday night.
One high-resolution computer model shows redeveloping showers/storms as early as 2 p.m. this afternoon:
That’s definitely a possibility – although a bit on the early side. It’ll depend on clearing. Should we clear up early and have a boundary lingering (expelled colder air from this morning’s storms) we could see that happen.
Otherwise, we’ll likely see storms this evening/overnight to tomorrow morning. Here’s another high-res model – this time for the overnight/early Monday time period:
We’ll repeat this trend, then, heading into Monday night and early Tuesday – continuing a very humid, very unsettled weather period.
Looking further ahead, surrounding Wednesday and Thursday (4th of July) we’ll be seeing spotty shower chances, but nothing worth canceling any plans for. It’ll be more just afternoon thunderstorm chances. Stay tuned as we approach those days though!
Follow Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer on Twitter. Aaron is a meteorologist who lives in Minneapolis and is the digital communications and social media associate for the nonprofit Avivo in Minneapolis. He is Ward 8's representative on the Minneapolis Bicycle Advisory Committee, Deep down he's a weather geek and has a degree in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences from UW-Madison to prove it. He's spent time working at TV stations in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Iowa prior to arriving in Minneapolis to work for WeatherNation and now forecasting for MinnyApple. His favorite weather career moment came while storm chasing for his Iowa station (he went on 40+ storm chases during that time), when he saw a mile-wide EF-4 rated tornado.