Our forecast for the Twin Cities this Monday includes a midday chance for strong to severe storms, and there are already some storms out there.
Here’s the radar view from 7:30 a.m. this morning:
As of 7:30 a.m., storms were 80ish miles north and west of Minneapolis, but moving at about 30 or so mph, which puts them near the metro area possibly as soon as 10 a.m., but likely a little bit later than that.
Here’s one higher resolution computer model view of the future radar around 11 a.m. today:
Another high resolution model shows storms developing over us in the Twin Cities, but then strengthening as they head toward Wisconsin.
Part of why I have trouble believing we’d not see storms at all is because of the overall storm energy picture midday today over central MN.
With quite a bit of storm energy (known as CAPE) there’s plenty of fuel for the storms:
Either way, we’ll get rain, and there’s a chance if storms do form that they’ll be severe – and there’s the fuel in the atmosphere to back that up.
Follow Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer on Twitter. Aaron is a meteorologist who lives in Minneapolis and is the digital communications and social media associate for the nonprofit Avivo in Minneapolis. He is Ward 8's representative on the Minneapolis Bicycle Advisory Committee, Deep down he's a weather geek and has a degree in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences from UW-Madison to prove it. He's spent time working at TV stations in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Iowa prior to arriving in Minneapolis to work for WeatherNation and now forecasting for MinnyApple. His favorite weather career moment came while storm chasing for his Iowa station (he went on 40+ storm chases during that time), when he saw a mile-wide EF-4 rated tornado.