Monday felt like a dream in the Twin Cities. Sunny skies, very little wind, and temperatures climbing to right around the freezing mark. That’s a nearly 40 degree swing from the previous weekend, and about a 30 degree swing from last week.
The warming continues today and tomorrow, but we also have some serious winter weather heading toward Minnesota, including snow and more bitter cold. Here’s a look at your Minneapolis 7 day forecast (and St. Paul 7 day forecast):
So what’s going on with the snow? I’ve been asked some version of that question about a dozen times now, and to be honest, I’m hesitant to put a lot of faith in the snowfall totals until we start to see some successful computer model forecasts.
What we can most likely expect is that we won’t see a total disappearing act from this particular snow storm. It looks to have the proper moisture content available to create a snowstorm for somebody, so then it just becomes a matter of where the snow falls.
Let’s peek ahead at the future radar on Wednesday night, watching snow close in:
Some of that earlier shower activity might come to the Twin Cities in the form of mixed precipitation, but it’ll quickly change to snow. Here’s the future radar, then, as Thursday’s morning commute approaches:
There’s the potential for heavy snow over Minneapolis/St. Paul, or at least light to moderate snow. Either way, the morning commute on Thursday looks to be quite rough.
Things start to wind down around midday Thursday, as the forecast shows snow moving away:
What’ll be interesting is to see how snowfall totals and overall moisture content change over the next 24 hours. Right now I’m looking for about 3″ and possibly up to 5″ in the Twin Cities. Based on recent model performance I wouldn’t be surprised to see totals swing in either direction. Stay tuned!
Follow Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer on Twitter. Aaron is a meteorologist who lives in Minneapolis, is on the Midtown Greenway Coalition's board of directors, and is the digital communications and social media associate for the nonprofit Avivo in Minneapolis. Deep down he's a weather geek and has a degree in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences from UW-Madison to prove it. He's spent time working at TV stations in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Iowa prior to arriving in Minneapolis to work for WeatherNation and now forecasting for MinnyApple. His favorite weather career moment came while storm chasing for his Iowa station (he went on 40+ storm chases during that time), when he saw a mile-wide EF-4 rated tornado.