Severe Weather Threat: Tuesday’s Minneapolis Weather Forecast

Heat and humidity have been pretty standard weather around Minneapolis and St. Paul lately, and today the Twin Cities get another dose of mugginess. This time we could see more storms tonight, as well, and some could be strong to severe. More on that in a moment.

Here’s a look at your Minneapolis 7 day forecast (and St. Paul 7 day forecast):


Let’s get back to the storms. Here’s the severe weather forecast threat from NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center:


Note the elevated risk, versus if you saw the threat for yesterday. With higher amounts of humidity and storm energy you’re seeing a perfect setup for severe storms that produce high, blasting wind. That’s our main threat for tonight.

The elevated, or “enhanced” risk indicated by the orange-ish shading means a 30% chance of severe weather occurring within 25 miles of a point. Looking the future radar this evening to overnight, you see quite a bit of activity.

Showers form earlier, pop-up showers, but those likely won’t be the main show tonight:


Fast-forward to around 10pm or later and that’s when the stronger storms start closing in on Minneapolis/St. Paul:


Where that line you see from about Detroit Lakes down to just north of the Twin Cities forms is going to determine where the severe storms likely end up, or at least the general region.

This particular computer model develops storms north of us, so we’d have the outer stretches coming through, but that doesn’t we wouldn’t see strong storms. Stay tuned.

Aaron Shaffer About Aaron Shaffer
Follow Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer on Twitter. Aaron is a meteorologist who lives in Minneapolis, is on the Midtown Greenway Coalition's board of directors, and is the digital communications and social media associate for the nonprofit Avivo in Minneapolis. Deep down he's a weather geek and has a degree in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences from UW-Madison to prove it. He's spent time working at TV stations in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Iowa prior to arriving in Minneapolis to work for WeatherNation and now forecasting for MinnyApple. His favorite weather career moment came while storm chasing for his Iowa station (he went on 40+ storm chases during that time), when he saw a mile-wide EF-4 rated tornado.