10-19 Warm Sunday; Then An Above-Average Week

We’re talking upper 60s as a possibility for not just today, but also potentially Wednesday & also next Saturday.  Excited yet? If not – keep in mind that our average high for Minneapolis/St. Paul is now down to 57 degrees.  A potentially upper 60s high today would put us as 10+ degrees above average.

Let’s break things down.  Here’s today:

Slide1

We’re looking at warmth, as mentioned, but also a bit of wind as well.  Midday seems to be the time you can expect the breeziest conditions.  Might be a good weekend day to check out the windsurfers at Lake Calhoun.

Then tonight things calm down, and could get a little chilly.

Slide2

Temperatures *could* stay above 40, but at least we’re not looking at morning frost or anything like that.  The overall trend will start to become a bit warmer after we pass by Monday.

Speaking of Monday – here is your Monday forecast:

Slide3

Notice that the winds switch to be NNW (North-Northwest). That is why we’re talking a high of only 59 (still two degrees above average, mind you). Between Monday & Tuesday we’re still looking at some fairly major warming squeezing into the Dakotas – but not quite making it here.

Slide4

You can see what happens when the warmth finally *does* get here. Look at Wednesday. We’re talking upper 60s as a possibility.  It’ll all hinge on when/if we get rain Wednesday, or if it can hold off until overnight and Thursday morning.  Either way, expect rain Thursday.

Then, we get another dose of warmth for Saturday. One long-term model is showing a major warm-up for Saturday, and another is showing a fairly neutral pattern… so we’ll keep an eye on it.

Here’s what it’s looking like, according to the more bullishly warm model:

 

saturday

Also, for all the wind-lovers (or haters) out there: Wednesday looks to be a bit on the windy side.

~Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer | @AaronShafferWX

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Aaron Shaffer About Aaron Shaffer
Follow Meteorologist Aaron Shaffer on Twitter. Aaron is a meteorologist who lives in Minneapolis, is on the Midtown Greenway Coalition's board of directors, and is the digital communications and social media associate for the nonprofit Avivo in Minneapolis. Deep down he's a weather geek and has a degree in Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences from UW-Madison to prove it. He's spent time working at TV stations in Wyoming, South Dakota, and Iowa prior to arriving in Minneapolis to work for WeatherNation and now forecasting for MinnyApple. His favorite weather career moment came while storm chasing for his Iowa station (he went on 40+ storm chases during that time), when he saw a mile-wide EF-4 rated tornado.